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Red191
121854.7
142554.1
264856.0
Blue120
402630.2
46710.5
415834.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166510100150200250300191120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#50
56.02.2
49.952.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
4158
#81
34.42.5
32.334.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
#53
54.72.2
53.055.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.5
4026
#84
30.22.5
28.531.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
54.12.2
45.047.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.6
467
#95
10.52.5
8.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End