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Red135
217537.7
216975.0
328441.4
Blue108
142554.1
233734.2
247452.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163140050100200250300350135108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.4
76.776.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
54.10.6
55.154.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3284
#63
41.40.4
43.142.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
52.20.6
53.252.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2175
#64
37.70.4
39.439.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2337
#46
34.20.6
35.234.6
Auto
Teleop
End