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Red14
244110.4
30088.5
372113.1
Blue4
28967.1
137816.6
387818.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173506080100120144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#14
13.10.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3878
#13
18.22.4
10.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2441
#15
10.40.5
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1378
#12
16.62.4
14.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#32
8.50.3
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2896
#22
7.12.4
7.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End