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Red14
234821.8
137816.6
244110.4
Blue17
30088.5
24535.7
246513.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223060801001201417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2348
#21
21.82.1
18.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
2465
#28
13.00.7
13.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1378
#12
16.62.1
12.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3008
#32
8.50.4
5.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2441
#15
10.42.1
8.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2453
#20
5.70.7
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End