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Red51
387818.2
24535.7
243711.1
Blue2
43746.2
483012.3
24557.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2735020406080512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3878
#13
18.21.9
9.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
4830
#24
12.32.6
13.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2437
#16
11.11.9
11.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2455
#34
7.72.6
10.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2453
#20
5.71.9
7.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4374
#26
6.22.6
10.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End