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Red86
415829.8
313235.5
137816.6
Blue59
388023.3
250421.6
243934.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467901001508659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.9
22.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2439
#11
34.70.7
29.428.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.82.9
16.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
3880
#19
23.30.7
23.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1378
#12
16.62.9
12.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
2504
#10
21.61.2
20.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End