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Red82
28535.9
209036.6
243821.1
Blue5
24557.7
24535.7
38003.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532104080100120140825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.8
28.731.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.9
2455
#34
7.71.7
7.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.11.7
16.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
2453
#20
5.71.7
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2853
#37
5.92.8
3.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3800
#33
3.41.7
9.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End