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Red8
244110.4
24443.7
425310.4
Blue31
427014.8
250421.6
243711.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732020406080100120831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2441
#15
10.41.7
8.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
2504
#10
21.60.0
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4253
#18
10.41.7
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
14.80.0
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#30
3.71.7
9.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2437
#16
11.10.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End