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Red20
28535.9
452913.5
47748.9
Blue33
28967.1
425310.4
246513.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25290204060802033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4529
#25
13.50.4
13.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2465
#28
13.00.4
10.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4774
#35
8.90.4
6.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4253
#18
10.40.4
13.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2853
#37
5.90.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2896
#22
7.10.4
3.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End