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Red46
244514.7
24443.7
243934.7
Blue5
24557.7
30088.5
425310.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260406080100120140465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#11
34.70.1
26.026.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
4253
#18
10.42.1
8.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2445
#23
14.70.1
11.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3008
#32
8.51.2
6.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#30
3.70.1
7.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2455
#34
7.72.1
14.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End