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Red114
209036.6
243711.1
35962.7
Blue128
313235.5
244339.0
421814.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12480050100150200114128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
62.70.0
64.964.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.7
39.00.7
38.339.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.60.0
38.838.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
35.50.7
34.835.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2437
#16
11.10.0
13.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4218
#29
14.30.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End