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Red142
251245.0
7140.8
270916.5
Blue100
162539.9
393617.2
245124.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10375050150200142100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.7
43.744.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
39.90.3
39.239.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
#5
40.80.7
39.640.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
2451
#22
24.70.3
23.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2709
#29
16.50.7
15.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3936
#38
17.20.3
16.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End