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Red13
201012.8
464510.4
46768.7
Blue12
47876.2
278112.5
203916.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213204060801001201312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#19
12.80.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2039
#31
16.51.0
12.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4645
#28
10.40.8
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2781
#39
12.51.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4676
#44
8.70.8
8.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4787
#46
6.21.5
7.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End