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Qual 122013 Midwest Regional
Red3
215110.9
470212.9
36463.3
Blue15
31106.2
33903.7
21155.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2528020406080100315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4702
#40
12.91.9
8.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
3110
#30
6.21.0
8.6→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2151
#34
10.91.9
9.1→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
2115
#45
5.51.0
9.9→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3646
#48
3.31.9
8.4→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
3390
#49
3.71.0
8.9→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—