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Red28
31976.5
18507.3
270916.5
Blue109
455110.6
245124.7
409623.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433040608010012028109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2709
#29
16.50.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
2451
#22
24.74.3
11.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1850
#37
7.30.2
9.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
4096
#10
23.46.4
13.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3197
#42
6.50.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
4551
#24
10.66.4
7.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End