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Red42
47876.2
306131.9
40814.3
Blue59
270916.5
64828.4
235815.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302060804259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.4
22.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
648
#11
28.41.4
17.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4787
#46
6.20.6
5.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
2709
#29
16.50.9
11.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4081
#53
4.30.4
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
2358
#23
15.40.9
12.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End