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Red64
430224.6
167518.0
219420.3
Blue91
64828.4
394016.3
245124.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5557203040507080901006491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4302
#16
24.60.7
20.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
648
#11
28.42.9
23.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2194
#20
20.30.4
17.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2451
#22
24.71.7
21.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1675
#41
18.00.4
17.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3940
#12
16.31.7
12.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End