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Red52
215110.9
178130.4
348815.6
Blue26
235815.4
109117.3
67716.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801001205226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.1
23.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1091
#14
17.31.3
16.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3488
#26
15.60.3
13.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
677
#21
16.72.2
20.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2151
#34
10.90.3
12.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2358
#23
15.41.3
15.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End