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Red13
219420.3
36463.3
348815.6
Blue59
393617.2
409623.4
173915.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40400102030506070801359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#20
20.31.6
19.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4096
#10
23.41.6
11.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3488
#26
15.62.2
9.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3936
#38
17.21.2
16.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3646
#48
3.32.2
10.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
1739
#33
15.41.2
11.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End