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Red22
464510.4
47876.2
348815.6
Blue29
313517.1
18507.3
470212.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2441060801002229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#26
15.60.4
14.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3135
#13
17.10.7
18.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4645
#28
10.40.4
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4702
#40
12.90.7
13.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4787
#46
6.20.4
4.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1850
#37
7.30.7
7.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End