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Red88
109117.3
201012.8
430224.6
Blue41
21362.8
470212.9
424116.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50290204060801001208841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4302
#16
24.63.0
19.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
4241
#15
16.40.6
17.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
#14
17.32.1
15.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
4702
#40
12.90.6
12.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2010
#19
12.82.1
11.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2136
#51
2.80.6
3.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End