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Qual 862013 Midwest Regional
Red80
306131.9
27256.2
409623.4
Blue65
424116.4
245124.7
203916.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57564050607080908065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#7
31.91.2
30.6→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
2451
#22
24.70.4
22.8→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4096
#10
23.41.5
21.7→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
2039
#31
16.50.4
16.1→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2725
#47
6.21.5
4.6→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.2
4241
#15
16.40.6
17.6→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—