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Red23
164622.4
414329.3
400814.6
Blue55
27923.7
29219.4
172021.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001201402355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#31
29.32.3
30.728.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
279
#40
23.70.5
17.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#42
22.42.1
18.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1720
#28
21.80.7
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4008
#29
14.62.3
14.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
292
#17
19.40.4
17.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End