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Red129
410318.9
120843.3
414329.3
Blue85
150141.6
29095.0
402836.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837005010015020012985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#11
43.32.4
38.540.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1501
#14
41.60.7
32.933.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4143
#31
29.32.4
27.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
36.50.7
33.534.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4103
#38
18.94.0
15.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
2909
#50
5.01.1
5.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End