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Red70
349227.8
394736.8
217115.6
Blue115
128847.6
103830.6
248144.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6812805010015020070115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#18
36.80.4
37.637.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
1288
#23
47.60.2
42.041.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3492
#16
27.80.4
25.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
44.50.2
47.847.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2171
#44
15.60.4
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
1038
#33
30.60.2
28.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End