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Red64
313831.9
27923.7
432914.6
Blue58
421319.7
402836.5
405811.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586802040801001201401606458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#21
31.90.2
28.728.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
36.50.4
34.834.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
#40
23.70.2
17.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4213
#25
19.70.6
19.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4329
#37
14.60.2
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4058
#46
11.90.6
11.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End