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Red80
425634.0
23608.3
384420.5
Blue37
208115.9
414329.3
349416.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587102040801001201401608037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#13
34.01.0
33.034.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4143
#31
29.31.6
31.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3844
#26
20.51.0
18.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3494
#45
16.41.6
18.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2360
#27
8.31.5
9.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
2081
#48
15.92.5
19.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End