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Red130
313831.9
44749.6
102428.1
Blue151
128847.6
170645.8
217115.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059850150200130151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#7
49.61.3
46.147.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1288
#23
47.62.6
42.945.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
#21
31.91.3
31.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
1706
#10
45.82.6
43.546.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1024
#12
28.11.3
26.828.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2171
#44
15.62.6
13.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End