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Red104
101832.8
326635.5
313831.9
Blue153
128847.6
44749.6
175634.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314050200250104153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.1
35.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
447
#7
49.60.3
49.750.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.80.1
32.732.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
1288
#23
47.60.3
47.848.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3138
#21
31.90.1
31.831.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1756
#35
34.60.3
34.835.1
Auto
Teleop
End