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Red131
35658.8
35949.4
86852.0
Blue36
42346.4
42727.9
394738.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693202040608010012014013136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
52.05.6
26.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
3947
#11
38.10.1
22.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
#1
49.45.6
30.636.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.5
4272
#32
7.90.1
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3565
#16
8.85.6
6.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4234
#37
6.40.1
6.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End