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Red10
28676.0
40709.3
45456.5
Blue8
21718.5
204021.3
4513.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32390206080100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4070
#20
9.31.9
8.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
21.32.5
15.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4545
#17
6.51.9
15.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
45
#34
13.12.5
10.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2867
#21
6.01.9
9.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2171
#40
8.52.5
12.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End