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Red37
42346.4
164617.8
102422.8
Blue55
348722.4
13516.5
314722.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060803755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.1
20.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3147
#19
22.41.1
11.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#12
17.80.1
11.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3487
#22
22.41.1
13.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4234
#37
6.40.1
6.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
135
#25
16.51.1
16.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End