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Red80
164617.8
13516.5
174139.0
Blue32
40709.3
48468.0
320115.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66310204060801008032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.01.5
31.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
3201
#13
15.90.4
17.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#12
17.81.5
15.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4070
#20
9.30.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
#25
16.51.5
14.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
4846
#35
8.00.4
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End