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Red56
386510.3
314722.4
448510.4
Blue10
31801.4
42346.4
317616.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383402060801001201401605610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#19
22.41.4
17.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3176
#26
16.01.7
19.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4485
#18
10.41.4
11.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4234
#37
6.41.7
9.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3865
#27
10.31.4
9.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3180
#38
1.41.9
5.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End