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Red121
35658.8
175628.5
394738.1
Blue49
150123.7
386510.3
13516.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62430208010012012149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#11
38.14.1
33.137.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1501
#24
23.70.2
21.221.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1756
#23
28.54.5
21.225.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
135
#25
16.50.2
14.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3565
#16
8.84.1
4.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3865
#27
10.30.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End