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Red9
348722.4
21718.5
42346.4
Blue11
46114.6
18727.6
28676.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37330206080100120140911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#22
22.42.3
16.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
461
#15
14.61.9
15.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2171
#40
8.52.3
11.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1872
#29
7.61.9
10.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4234
#37
6.42.3
9.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2867
#21
6.01.9
8.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End