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Red179
86873.2
98779.9
282647.2
Blue219
264855.5
3366.4
346764.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20717650100150250300350179219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#11
79.90.4
80.680.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
33
#13
66.40.6
64.865.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#5
73.20.4
73.973.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3467
#25
64.10.6
62.563.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2826
#39
47.20.4
47.947.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
55.50.6
53.854.5
Auto
Teleop
End