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Red182
86873.2
98779.9
282647.2
Blue214
264855.5
3366.4
346764.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20517950100150250300350182214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#11
79.90.3
80.279.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
33
#13
66.40.5
65.465.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#5
73.20.3
73.573.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3467
#25
64.10.5
63.263.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2826
#39
47.20.3
47.547.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
55.50.5
54.555.0
Auto
Teleop
End