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Red137
153872.3
225253.5
21728.4
Blue176
111493.2
46124.9
44744.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159157100120140180200220137176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#15
72.31.0
73.772.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
93.20.9
94.495.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2252
#63
53.51.0
51.350.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
447
#24
44.00.9
42.143.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#68
28.41.0
32.131.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
461
#26
24.90.9
22.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End