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Red216
392845.9
111493.2
347661.4
Blue167
167655.0
62459.9
150349.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207139050100250300350400216167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.21.0
95.396.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.3
624
#32
59.90.9
58.959.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3476
#36
61.41.0
60.061.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1676
#18
55.00.9
47.748.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3928
#14
45.91.0
40.841.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1503
#64
49.50.9
43.043.9
Auto
Teleop
End