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Red144
173246.9
384741.1
153872.3
Blue158
264855.5
23454.9
347661.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531620100200300400500144158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#15
72.30.5
72.271.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
3476
#36
61.40.1
61.060.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1732
#35
46.90.5
45.444.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
55.50.1
47.146.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3847
#53
41.10.5
36.536.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
234
#59
54.90.1
52.352.2
Auto
Teleop
End