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Red141
7149.7
133461.9
69636.5
Blue106
98779.9
392845.9
159239.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136171050100200250300350141106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#19
61.90.0
61.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
987
#11
79.93.0
90.287.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
#45
49.70.0
45.845.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3928
#14
45.93.0
43.840.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
696
#42
36.50.0
34.934.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1592
#52
39.23.0
31.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End