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Red130
21728.4
364145.7
86873.2
Blue120
1640.1
46965.3
5122.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145123050100200250130120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
73.20.6
69.669.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
469
#4
65.30.3
65.064.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3641
#43
45.70.6
43.442.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
16
#20
40.10.3
38.438.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#68
28.40.6
28.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
51
#67
22.40.3
23.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End