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Red176
30339.1
35965.6
62459.9
Blue142
259059.5
217543.6
353950.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175152050100200250300176142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#7
65.60.2
70.670.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2590
#23
59.50.7
61.861.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
#32
59.90.2
56.857.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3539
#57
50.20.7
54.754.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
303
#62
39.10.2
43.543.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2175
#56
43.60.7
38.938.3
Auto
Teleop
End