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Red190
246852.3
11879.0
102432.8
Blue117
46124.9
21728.4
233851.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17386050150200250300190117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#17
79.01.5
78.680.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.4
2338
#40
51.70.8
48.949.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2468
#22
52.31.5
49.751.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.9
217
#68
28.40.8
29.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1024
#55
32.81.5
31.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
461
#26
24.90.8
21.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End