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Red194
44744.0
394747.8
46965.3
Blue113
217543.6
164042.0
233729.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161100050200250300194113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
65.32.1
66.068.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
2175
#56
43.60.2
38.338.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.82.1
45.047.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1640
#54
42.00.2
43.243.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
447
#24
44.02.1
40.142.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
2337
#46
29.10.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End