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Red170
11159.5
5122.4
167655.0
Blue181
98779.9
346764.1
86250.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112214050150250300350170181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#38
59.52.1
54.756.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
987
#11
79.90.9
84.183.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
#18
55.02.1
50.152.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
3467
#25
64.10.9
60.859.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
51
#67
22.42.1
23.725.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
862
#30
50.70.9
53.352.4
Auto
Teleop
End