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Red147
264855.5
282647.2
233729.1
Blue85
392845.9
102432.8
19563.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714105010020025030035014785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.3
49.250.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
195
#9
63.02.6
60.157.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2826
#39
47.21.3
42.844.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3928
#14
45.92.6
44.141.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2337
#46
29.11.3
28.429.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1024
#55
32.82.6
32.730.1
Auto
Teleop
End