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Red139
24566.7
247448.6
150349.5
Blue153
86250.7
164042.0
264855.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154146050100200250139153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#12
66.70.7
57.256.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
55.50.3
49.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1503
#64
49.50.7
43.743.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
862
#30
50.70.3
58.959.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
#33
48.60.7
52.251.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1640
#54
42.00.3
39.039.3
Auto
Teleop
End