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Red186
69636.5
86873.2
264855.5
Blue217
394747.8
3366.4
346764.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571680100200300400500186217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
73.21.4
72.774.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
33
#13
66.42.5
60.963.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.51.4
50.551.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
3467
#25
64.12.5
60.863.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
696
#42
36.51.4
35.436.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
47.82.5
44.647.1
Auto
Teleop
End